This month, a new round of sanctions imposed by the United States on Iran came into force, which not only basically cut off all economic and trade exchanges between the United States and Iran, but also proposed to impose economic sanctions on those countries that continue to conduct business and trade with Iran. International Business Daily specially invited Zhuang Rui, Vice Premier of the Institute of International Economy of University of International Business and Economics; Su Qingyi, deputy director of the World Trade Research Office, World Economic and Political Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; and Liao Baizhi, deputy director of Middle East Research Institute of China Institute of modern international relations, to have an expert round table discussion and conduct in-depth analysis on the US sanctions against Iran.
During the discussion, Professor Zhuang Rui pointed out that the restart of US sanctions against Iran mainly involves energy and shipping, which will have a certain negative impact on international trade and investment. It is possible that the trading of glycoside commodities and international oil price will inevitably aggravate the fluctuation. Other countries may artificially reduce imports from Iran under the pressure of the US, and large enterprises with interest relationship with the US may withdraw from Iran, etc. In general, the US sanctions against Iraq add another shadow to the slow recovery of the world economy since the global financial crisis in 2008.
In the discussion on whether other countries will not fear the risk of sanctions and follow the EU's practice of maintaining economic and trade exchanges with Iran, Professor Zhuang Rui said that the response measures introduced by the EU include two aspects: one is the withdrawal of large enterprises related to the interests of the United States from Iran; the other is to encourage small and medium-sized enterprises not related to the interests of the United States to invest in Iran. Under the reality of US sanctions against Iran, most countries will take actions to protect their enterprises from losses. Overall, Iran's foreign investment inflow will tend to decrease.
Professor Zhuang Rui finally said that in the face of unilateral withdrawal of the United States from the "Iran nuclear agreement" and sanctions against Iran's willful behavior, China needs to be prepared to deal with the change. At this stage, the emergency plan covering the government, enterprises and industry associations should be issued as soon as possible, and all parties should be mobilized in order to strive to maintain the legal and normal economic and trade exchanges between China and Iran.
Original link: http://epaper.comnews.cn/read.php?id=3079
